Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
JAG
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
AME
1 - 2
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 0
PUE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
QRO
0 - 2
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
EST
4 - 3
PUM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
EST
2 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |