Toluca vs Colorado Rapids analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 2
HOD
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
KCW
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
CFS
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colorado Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JUA
2 - 3
COR
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
COR
33%
23%
44%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
COR
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COR
3 - 2
RSL
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 2
COR
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |