Toluca vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 2
TOT
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 2
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 3
CIE
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 1
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
CIE
3 - 0
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |