Toluca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
PUE
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
0 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 4
PAC
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
3 - 4
PUM
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOR
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
REB
2 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |