Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 2
SAN
38%
24%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
QRO
4 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
CAZ
0 - 0
AME
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAZ
2 - 3
CAZ
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
TIJ
1 - 2
CAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 0
CAZ
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |