Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 2
VER
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
CAZ
39%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 0
CAZ
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 3
NEC
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |