Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
TIG
6 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
EST
4 - 2
TOL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PAC
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAZ
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUM
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |