Toluca vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
EST
0 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
BOC
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
BOL
7 - 1
OPE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 2
BLO
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 0
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
RPO
4 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |