Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Toluca vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
AME
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
TIG
2 - 1
TOL
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 2
LEO
56%
22%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 3
TOL
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
TIJ
2 - 2
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
AME
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 5
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |