Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-1
Tolosa CF vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 1
SAB
58%
24%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
TOL
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
TOL
2 - 0
EJE
67%
20%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ZAR
4 - 0
TOL
70%
19%
10%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 0
MUT
65%
22%
12%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
AUR
0 - 0
LEM
64%
23%
13%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LEM
3 - 1
TAL
48%
27%
25%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
LON
3 - 0
LEM
56%
26%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LEM
1 - 0
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RUN
2 - 0
LEM
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |