Tolosa CF vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
73.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CDU
3 - 0
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
BTG
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
URO
0 - 3
TOL
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 2
AÑO
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UPV
1 - 2
TOL
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GER
0 - 0
CDV
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 1
GER
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GER
1 - 0
CDU
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 1
GER
70%
19%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |