Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Tolosa CF vs CD Mungia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
60%
25%
15%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
TOL
0 - 1
TAL
56%
25%
19%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
CDM
3 - 1
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
LON
1 - 1
TOL
56%
27%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 0
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mungia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CDM
2 - 0
MUT
53%
27%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
CDT
3 - 2
CDM
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
CDM
3 - 1
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CDM
1 - 1
LEM
57%
27%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
SDE
2 - 1
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |