Tolosa CF vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 0
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAS
58%
23%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
TOL
73%
18%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
SNT
43%
26%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LON
2 - 1
AUR
46%
27%
28%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
BFC
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CDU
1 - 1
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
CDV
30%
26%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |