Tolosa U19 vs Deportivo Alavés U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
14º
57
5º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
94% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SJU
2 - 1
TOL
75%
16%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 0
CFG
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 3
CDT
51%
22%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
TOL
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 2
UDL
41%
22%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 1
VAS
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
ALA
21%
23%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
DAN
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
5 - 1
ARE
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |