Tolosa U19 vs Athletic U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
17º
10º
42
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 74 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 92.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
0 - 3
REA
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
BCF
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HER
0 - 3
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
3 - 1
BER
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
REA
7 - 5
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 3
ATH
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
IND
79%
12%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 2
DAN
84%
10%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |