Toledo Olivos vs Nueva Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo Olivos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RAY
0 - 0
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 0
RVM
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FIV
3 - 3
TOL
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
UES
40%
21%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DPS
1 - 3
TOL
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Nueva Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
NCA
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NCA
2 - 1
FRV
24%
20%
56%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NCA
3 - 2
VAL
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RDM
1 - 0
NCA
52%
20%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NCA
1 - 3
MEJ
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |