CD Toledo B vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 2
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAB
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
MAD
36%
26%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
YUN
33%
24%
42%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
TDR
35%
24%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
HAL
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
CFA
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FUE
4 - 3
HAL
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
CDP
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |