Tokyo Verdy vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TOK
5 - 3
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOK
0 - 2
RSO
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIS
0 - 1
TOK
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAC
5 - 0
TOK
51%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
YSC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OMI
4 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PAR
7 - 0
SAK
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
CON
14%
18%
68%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
ZWE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |