Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SHO
0 - 4
TOK
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
TOK
1 - 0
KYO
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
SEO
1 - 0
TOK
26%
23%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1995 |
TFB
0 - 0
TOK
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
TOK
3 - 2
PER
90%
8%
3%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
KAR
2 - 3
NAG
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
URA
2 - 1
KAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
4 - 0
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
SHI
1 - 3
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
3 - 2
FLU
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |