Tokyo Verdy vs Hoyo Oita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIF
1 - 0
TOK
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 2
GIR
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
OIT
2 - 1
TOK
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
TOK
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 1
KYO
44%
25%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoyo Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HOY
3 - 0
NIH
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 2
VVA
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
HOY
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
6 - 1
HON
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 4
HOY
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |