Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
TOK
2 - 1
JEF
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
KAA
2 - 1
TOK
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
TOK
2 - 3
GAM
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
NAG
3 - 1
TOK
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
TOK
2 - 0
URA
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
URA
0 - 0
CER
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CER
3 - 2
NAG
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
CER
2 - 1
JUB
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
FCY
3 - 0
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CER
1 - 2
AVI
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |