Tokushima Vortis vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CER
3 - 1
TOK
78%
15%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOK
2 - 2
VIS
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
URA
2 - 1
TOK
84%
13%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 5
KAA
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
FCT
4 - 0
TOK
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
NAG
0 - 0
VEG
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
NAG
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 2
SHI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 3
NAG
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAG
0 - 1
ALB
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |