Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 1
TOK
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
TOK
0 - 4
TOC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GIF
0 - 2
TOK
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
EHI
0 - 1
TOK
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TOK
2 - 1
KYO
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FAG
3 - 0
GIR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
FAG
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 0
YOK
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 1
FAG
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
THE
1 - 2
FAG
67%
20%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |