Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 0
TOK
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TOK
6 - 0
ROA
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
EHI
0 - 1
TOK
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TOK
0 - 1
TOK
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
TOK
1 - 1
THE
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 1
CON
30%
28%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
EHI
0 - 1
FAG
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 3
CER
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VEG
4 - 2
FAG
72%
18%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
FAG
2 - 2
AVI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |