Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Siirt İl Özel İdaresi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
10º
5º
29
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ZON
2 - 3
TBP
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORD
3 - 0
TBP
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TBP
1 - 1
AKS
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 7
TBP
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 0
TBP
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Siirt İl Özel İdaresi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
AFK
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SGS
2 - 1
SIO
13%
17%
70%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
SIS
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
ANK
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SUL
0 - 2
SIO
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |