Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs 23 Elazig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
12º
19
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 56 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 31 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KBS
0 - 0
TBP
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TBP
2 - 2
KIR
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 0
TBP
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TBP
0 - 1
BKS
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 2
TBP
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
23 Elazig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ELA
0 - 0
DUZ
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
ELA
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ELA
0 - 0
VBK
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 0
12B
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 0
ELA
33%
29%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |