Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Düzcespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
15º
10º
36
2º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 68 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 58 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 30 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 27 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
16º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Next round
|
3.5% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 0
TBP
95%
4%
1%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
TBP
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
VBK
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 0
TBP
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
ELA
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Düzcespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KUS
2 - 3
DUZ
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DUZ
1 - 2
KAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VBK
0 - 0
DUZ
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
FET
2 - 2
DUZ
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUZ
0 - 0
AHP
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |