TOGB vs GVV Unitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
16º
9º
29
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
94% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 3
TOG
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TOG
2 - 1
OSS
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GEM
2 - 1
TOG
61%
20%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TOG
0 - 1
OJC
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IJS
2 - 1
TOG
28%
21%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
GVV Unitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GVV
1 - 2
TIE
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 2
GVV
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOE
2 - 3
GVV
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GVV
2 - 3
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GVV
4 - 0
BLA
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |