TOGB vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
13º
12º
20
14º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 66 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 55 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 25 |
17º
|
76.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 3
TOG
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
HOE
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 4
NOO
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 1
TOG
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOG
3 - 0
QUI
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GOE
1 - 4
ASW
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STE
3 - 0
GOE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
GOE
2 - 4
USV
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GOE
0 - 1
KLO
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GOE
1 - 1
MEE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |