Todesfelde vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
11º
1º
62
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
6 - 0
LUB
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
4 - 0
DOR
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WEF
3 - 1
TOD
5%
10%
85%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
0 - 3
TOD
10%
14%
77%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOD
5 - 1
VFR
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
ITK
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 3
UNI
13%
15%
72%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
EIC
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
UNI
18%
17%
65%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 4
UNI
15%
17%
68%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |