Tochigi vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MIT
1 - 2
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 0
GIF
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
KAT
1 - 0
TOC
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 1
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
YOK
3 - 0
TOC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
VVA
0 - 1
KYO
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VVA
0 - 0
TOK
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EHI
0 - 3
VVA
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VVA
0 - 1
ROA
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SHO
1 - 2
VVA
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |