Tochigi vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
FCY
3 - 1
TOC
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TOC
4 - 2
GAM
9%
16%
75%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 2
TOC
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
THE
0 - 1
TOC
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TOC
4 - 3
CON
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
KAW
3 - 0
TOK
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EHI
4 - 0
TOK
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TOK
2 - 1
THE
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 0
JEF
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
ROA
2 - 1
TOK
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |