Tochigi vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 1
GIF
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 1
FCK
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FAG
0 - 0
TOC
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TOC
3 - 1
ATF
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MMM
0 - 1
TOC
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 1
YOK
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AVI
3 - 1
SHO
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SHO
3 - 0
GIF
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CER
2 - 1
SHO
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SHO
1 - 0
MIT
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |