Tochigi vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
KYO
1 - 1
TOC
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 1
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
TOC
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 2
TOC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 1
GIR
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAT
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ROA
0 - 0
SAG
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
TOC
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
GIF
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
EHI
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |