Tochigi vs Ryūkyū analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ZWE
2 - 0
TOC
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
ZWE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 2
TOC
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 1
TOC
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
RYK
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RYK
1 - 1
GAI
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 1
RYK
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 2
RYK
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RYK
2 - 1
PAR
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |