Tochigi vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
VVA
1 - 1
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 1
FAG
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
SHO
2 - 1
TOC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 1
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
EHI
0 - 1
TOC
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ROA
0 - 0
TOK
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ROA
1 - 3
SHO
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
ROA
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ROA
0 - 0
FAG
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
MIT
0 - 0
ROA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |