Tochigi vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOC
2 - 1
ALB
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAG
1 - 0
TOC
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TOC
0 - 2
RYK
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
1 - 1
TOC
67%
22%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOK
23%
29%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
OMI
2 - 1
KAR
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RYK
2 - 3
OMI
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OMI
2 - 3
TOK
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
OMI
3 - 0
AVI
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MIT
2 - 3
OMI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |