Tochigi vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIT
0 - 1
TOC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FCY
3 - 0
TOC
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOK
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GAI
0 - 5
TOC
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 1
TOC
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 1
GIF
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
KAW
4 - 0
OIT
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
OIT
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 1
JEF
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EHI
1 - 1
OIT
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |