Tochigi vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
GAI
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MIT
4 - 3
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIS
2 - 0
TOC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 1
ROA
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
AVI
2 - 0
TOC
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MON
3 - 2
VIS
22%
25%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
THE
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
KYO
1 - 1
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ROA
1 - 1
MON
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
FAG
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |