Tochigi vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 0
KYO
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
THE
0 - 0
TOC
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
TOC
3 - 0
MAT
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RYK
4 - 2
TOC
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 1
TOC
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 5
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 1
GIR
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
ALB
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 1
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |