Tochigi vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
0 - 0
TOC
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
EHI
2 - 2
TOC
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 1
FCT
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
YOK
2 - 0
TOC
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 3
SHO
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
OIT
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
FCT
11%
22%
68%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
JEF
0 - 0
KAT
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |