Tochigi vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 2
TOC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
3 - 3
VEN
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VEG
1 - 0
TOC
64%
22%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 0
TOK
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
EHI
0 - 0
TOC
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
KAT
3 - 0
GIF
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 0
CER
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 2
KAT
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
KAT
1 - 2
MIT
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
KAT
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |