Tochigi vs Minebea Mitsumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TOK
0 - 0
TOC
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 1
GIF
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 1
ROA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 2
KAT
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Minebea Mitsumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VVA
1 - 1
HON
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HON
3 - 2
HON
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIO
0 - 2
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HON
0 - 1
YOK
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HON
3 - 3
HON
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |