Tochigi vs Grulla Morioka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
OIT
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOK
1 - 1
TOC
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 0
KAG
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 1
TOC
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FUK
2 - 1
TOC
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grulla Morioka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 3
KAG
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FUJ
3 - 2
GRU
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
BLA
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 3
RYK
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
GRU
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |