Tochigi vs Gifu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 1
FCK
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FAG
0 - 0
TOC
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TOC
3 - 1
ATF
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MMM
0 - 1
TOC
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
JUB
3 - 1
TOC
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Gifu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GIF
1 - 0
SAG
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SHO
3 - 0
GIF
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GIF
0 - 1
YOK
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
NAG
1 - 0
GIF
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ROA
1 - 1
GIF
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |