Tochigi vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TOK
1 - 0
TOC
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
26%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CER
1 - 0
TOC
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 1
SHO
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 1
GIF
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
0 - 0
FAG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 1
FAG
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 0
VEG
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 0
VEN
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |