Tochigi vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAG
1 - 0
TOC
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TOC
0 - 2
RYK
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
1 - 1
TOC
67%
22%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOK
23%
29%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
EHI
3 - 2
TOC
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALB
3 - 1
KYO
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AVI
2 - 1
ALB
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EHI
0 - 1
ALB
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ALB
6 - 0
KAG
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
3 - 0
MIT
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |