Tochigi Uva vs Ryūkyū analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SON
1 - 0
TOC
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 6
YSC
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FUJ
2 - 2
TOC
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 3
SAG
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 1
SON
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 1
RYK
15%
19%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -3 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
YSC
0 - 2
RYK
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 2
FUJ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
4 - 3
RYK
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |