Tochigi Uva vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 0
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 5
SON
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
YOK
0 - 1
TOC
67%
21%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 0
VER
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MIO
1 - 0
TOC
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
HON
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
FAG
0 - 5
HON
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
KAG
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAN
0 - 2
HON
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HON
0 - 0
AZU
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |