Tochigi Uva vs Fagiano Okayama II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 3
VER
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HON
2 - 0
TOC
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
YGU
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SON
3 - 1
TOC
82%
14%
4%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 0
TOC
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
OSA
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 1
FAG
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
5 - 0
FAG
79%
15%
6%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
HON
7%
15%
78%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
URA
3 - 2
FAG
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |